Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.005832 0.006172 0.006524 0.006918 0.007347 0.007801 0.008319
2026-01-04 0.005315 0.005816 0.006361 0.007003 0.007741 0.008569 0.009575
2026-01-11 0.004920 0.005500 0.006153 0.006948 0.007898 0.009008 0.010422
2026-01-18 0.004643 0.005280 0.006015 0.006934 0.008068 0.009440 0.011259
2026-01-25 0.004394 0.005066 0.005857 0.006870 0.008154 0.009755 0.011952
2026-02-01 0.004286 0.005009 0.005877 0.007014 0.008494 0.010399 0.013112
2026-02-08 0.004113 0.004858 0.005768 0.006983 0.008600 0.010735 0.013873
2026-02-15 0.003971 0.004738 0.005687 0.006977 0.008730 0.011103 0.014700
2026-02-22 0.003803 0.004574 0.005541 0.006874 0.008718 0.011267 0.015235
2026-03-01 0.003655 0.004429 0.005411 0.006783 0.008711 0.011431 0.015777
2026-03-08 0.003554 0.004340 0.005348 0.006776 0.008820 0.011765 0.016601
2026-03-15 0.003381 0.004149 0.005142 0.006562 0.008617 0.011620 0.016647
2026-03-22 0.003306 0.004086 0.005107 0.006587 0.008765 0.012017 0.017618
2026-03-29 0.003255 0.004054 0.005111 0.006666 0.008997 0.012558 0.018885
2026-04-05 0.003162 0.003962 0.005029 0.006615 0.009027 0.012780 0.019615
2026-04-12 0.003089 0.003892 0.004975 0.006602 0.009113 0.013094 0.020539
2026-04-19 0.003005 0.003805 0.004892 0.006543 0.009122 0.013279 0.021240
2026-04-26 0.002987 0.003809 0.004938 0.006677 0.009443 0.014009 0.023060
2026-05-03 0.002920 0.003742 0.004880 0.006648 0.009498 0.014284 0.024014
2026-05-10 0.002863 0.003688 0.004837 0.006642 0.009590 0.014628 0.025145
2026-05-17 0.002783 0.003598 0.004740 0.006547 0.009525 0.014686 0.025675
2026-05-24 0.002710 0.003516 0.004652 0.006461 0.009473 0.014762 0.026253
2026-05-31 0.002663 0.003469 0.004615 0.006455 0.009557 0.015093 0.027435